We are worried about the super smart society
of AI, IoT and robots, or what is called the Fourth Industrial Revolution and
Society 5.0.
We are worried whether or not AI is going to
go out of control like HAL. There are already examples of bots who spout hate
and stir up society. There have also been incidents where robots have injured
people, and cases where robots killed people.
What is more concerning than anything else is
the theory that owing to the spread of
AI and IoT, half of the work will be stolen. A number of influential studies
are predicting this, and legitimize this concern. AI is already responsible for
70% of financial transactions, and the signs are becoming reality.
However, one lesson of economics is that new
jobs are born even if old jobs are lost. In Race
Against the Machine, Brynjolfsson and McAfee bring up the example of the
luddite movement during the industrial revolution, in order to offer an
optimistic theory for the long-term.
They explain that the steam engine of the
first stage of the industrial revolution, and
the electricity of the second stage, produced many new workers. And that
in the long term, in the third stage of the industrial revolution, computers
and the net will do the same.
There are also books that incite with
accounts of the jobs that will be gone soon. It is easy to think of the jobs
that are becoming less competitive. On the other hand, it is hard to imagine
what kind of new jobs are coming. Because these are jobs that do not exist yet.
But it is doubtful whether humans are able to create such job. I hope that AI
will create these jobs for us.
But are AI and robots really going to
increase our work? With intellect surpassing humans, AI embodied robots, are
going to be completely different from the technology that we have now, so won’t
we just lose work?
Farmers who originally farmed with hoes
acquired tractors and pesticides, and
were able to make lots of crops with relative ease. If AI and robots take over
everything and we earn income without doing anything, doesn't that mean that
rather than losing work, we will be liberated from work?
I hope
that’s the case.
I once talked at a children's workshop where
I asked the question “When AI and robots take over half of the work, we’ll have
to come up with twice the work. What do you think the future of work will be?”
But maybe, we should really be more interested in what society looks like
without work.
An
extremely leisurely society.
In Murray Shanahan’s Singularity. This cognitive robotics engineer explains his outlook
on AI. He carefully analyzes AI technology from the perspective of neuroscience
and robotics. With physiology that seeks to emulate and copy the brain, and an
analysis that is firmly based in informatics, he debates the impact of AI.
The author explains that...
The amount of paid labor in
the future will definitely be reduced. An age of abundance where goods and
services will spread to even the lowest strata of society. An age of equality
with education for all. An age of unprecedented cultural expression.
I hope so.
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