There is a fear
regarding the super smart society, also known as Industry 4.0 and Society 5.0, made
by AI, IoT, and robots.
People worry that
AI may go out of control like HAL. They talk about how some bots are already
starting to spew hate speech. There are even cases where robots have hurt or
killed humans.
But the scariest
aspect of all is the theory that the popularization of AI, IoT, and robotics
will steal half of the world’s jobs. This has been predicted by a number of influential
studies, giving the theory credibility. 70% of financial transactions are
already handled by AI, showing that the supposed takeover may have already
begun.
However,
economics teaches us that when old jobs are lost, new jobs take their place.
MIT Professor Erik Brynjolfsson and McAfee’s book “Race Against the Machine”
has a long-term optimistic view of the situation, comparing it with the
Industrial Revolution’s Luddite movement.
Many jobs were
made by the popularization of the steam engine and electricity in the two
phases of the Industrial Revolution. Brynjolfsson theorizes that the third
phase, which brought computers and the internet, will create jobs in the long
term as well.
Other books make
claims about certain jobs that will soon be lost. It is easy to think of jobs
that are not competitive. However, it is difficult to imagine what new jobs can
be created. This is because these jobs do not exist yet. For humanity’s
survival, we must have the power to create these new jobs. Perhaps AI will do
that job for us.
However, will AI
and robots truly create more work for us? If they were to replace a human
worker, then an AI would function as the brain while the robot would function
as the body. Is so, then would this not break the previous trends seen with
technology and simply result in less work for us?
The farmers who
previously tilled their fields with hoes obtained tractors and agrochemicals,
making it significantly easier for them to produce large amounts of crops. AI
and robots will shoulder our burdens, allowing us to gain income without so
much as lifting a finger. We should see this not as having our jobs stolen from
us, but being freed from our jobs instead. It is an important implication.
Frankly speaking, that is what I forward to.
I have given a presentation on this at workshop for children, and
told them, “If AI and robots do half of our work, then we will just double up.
What jobs will the future have?” But in truth, I actually wonder what society
would be like if none of us had to work.
It would be a super leisurely society.
Murray Shanahan is the author of The Technological Singularity. In
his book, he gives his view as a professor of Cognitive Robotics on the future
of AI. Shanahan carefully analyzes AI technology with approaches from the
fields of neuroscience and robotics. After thoroughly analyzing brain emulation
and copying from the perspectives of physiology and informatics, he discusses
the impact that AI will have.
This is Shanahan’s explanation: The total amount of paid labor is
guaranteed to decrease in the future. We will reach an age where products and
services can be spread through even the poorest levels of society. In this age,
everyone will have an equal opportunity at education. It will be an age of
unprecedented cultural expression.
I look forward it.
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