We are currently noticing articles in the media reporting that
Japan has had a late start in the AI development race. American companies such
as IBM, Google, and Apple are the current industry leaders for AI development,
and while the Japanese government has appealed to advance development with the
Artificial Intelligence Technology Strategy Council, there remains a concern
that we have missed the boat.
In Japan, the AI industry died down after the original boom in the
80’s. While the AI faction was lively during my time at the MIT Media Lab in
the late 90’s, Japanese companies had already begun to lose interest.
Though Deep Learning has regained popularity in recent years, it
is too late for Japan to put its taxes into universities for research because
American companies overseas are already investing trillions of JPY into the
race. Japan’s late start was not caused by the lack of talented personnel in
universities, but because of company investments.
Our one chance to succeed is not via the development side of
things, but the use side. Take a look at how female high school students used
IT/mobile phone technology to create the cultures of emojis and selfies, or how
the video-game industry was born by using American technology.
I believe that we should take the lead and adopt new technologies
to give birth to new industries and cultures with them, such as with pop
culture and our other fields of expertise, or with welfare, nursing, and
disaster prevention, areas in which Japan should exist as a global challenge
forerunner.
The government should also guide us in the proactive use of AI.
They should show a high level of commitment to its use, such as by giving an
Assistant Vice Minister post to an AI.
However, while it is important to consider AI in terms of
investment and sales, this is missing the big picture.
We are currently starting to refer to AI and IoT as Industry 4.0.
1.0 is light industry, 2.0 is heavy industry, and 3.0 is information industry.
However, we must ask ourselves: is this truly an industrial
revolution? Of course, the industries will be the first to change, but is the
effect had on culture and society not more significant?
Even looking back to IT, which is mostly linked to Industry 3.0,
was that truly an industrial revolution for us? Was it not more of a cultural
revolution? I believe that rather than the growth of the IT industry and
adoption of IT by businesses, the majority of the population beginning to carry
and transmit information to one another was a much larger change for us.
If the 18th century industrial revolution was a once-in-300-years
change, then I believe that the information revolution brought on by IT is a
once-in-1000-years change of expression. The AI/IT revolution will be an
entirely new frontier for us, a once-in-10000-year revolution. I believe that
by taking something of such grand scale and simply summing it up as “Industry
4.0,” the strategies that we for it will be too small to fit.
This is why the Japanese government has introduced their vision of
a super smart society known as Society 5.0 to stand alongside Industry 4.0.
Each society was a revolution, with 1.0’s being hunting and gathering, 2.0’s
being agricultural, 3.0’s being industrial, 4.0’s being information, and 5.0’s
being civilization. This is a better fit for AI and IoT’s massive scale.
This time, the government’s White Paper on Information and
Communications focused on IT’s consumer surplus. The value of IT cannot be
measured as GDP. Even if the industry does not have huge sales, it has a huge
effect on the money, time, and physiological use of its users. We must ask
ourselves how we perceive an industry in terms of society, culture, and
civilization, not just monetary value.
What impact will AI have on investment and sales, and how will
further reliance on AI change civilization? I would like an index to measure
this with so that countermeasures can be formed. However, we are still on the
tip of the iceberg.
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